President Aquino |
Senatorial candidates of the president under the Team Pinoy
coalition have been leading in the surveys conducted by different public
opinion polling bodies. In a recent survey 9 out of the 12 senatorial
candidates of the president have a big chance winning in the election. UNA
candidates are expected to win at least 3 senate seats.
The result of the midterm election is crucial for President
Aquino because after the election he will be already in the second half of this
term. If majority of the mayors, governors, congressmen and senators who win
are members of his own party, the Liberal, or the administration coalition,
then he will have a majority of members of congress and local officials who are
supportive of his policies and programs. An overwhelming win by the
administration party will make the president stay strong for the remaining
years in his office despite the fact that he is ineligible for reelection.
The president should come to terms with a Supreme Court (SC)
that is filled with majority of justices who are appointed by a former
president who is his political adversary. The president supported and signed the
Reproductive Health (RH) Law. However, the petitioners against it successfully
got a Temporary Restraining Order (TRO) from the SC suspending its implementation. The SC’s issuance of TRO on an administration
sponsored law is a reflection of the state of relationship between the
executive and the judicial branches of government.
A win by the opposition coalition UNA of the majority of the
elective positions in the government in the election bodes no good for the
president. It is a scenario on which he will become a lame duck president.
Majority of the members of congress and the heads of local government units will
gravitate towards a figure which they will see as having the best chance to
become the next president. In that kind of situation the president will be hard
put in pursuing his policies and programs that may result in unsatisfactory
performance and his unpopularity to the people. It will also be difficult for
his anointed candidate to succeed him win against an opposition candidate who
has the support of the majority of incumbent national and local officials who are candidates in
the next presidential election.
Vice President Jejomar Binay’s bid for the 2016 presidential
election will be surely boosted by a win of UNA candidates. However, his early
pronouncement to aspire for that position has put him under the scrutiny of
many people, and some issues that came out are negative. There are allegations
that he and his family have amassed unexplained wealth while in office. And
there is also the hot issue of political dynasty. Members of the vice president’s
family hold different elective offices all at the same time. His son Jun-jun is
running for reelection as Mayor of Makati, and so is his daughter, Abigail who
seeks reelection as a representative of Makati. Nancy, the eldest daughter of
the vice president is running for senator.
It is believed that President Aquino will choose as his successor Department of Interior and Local Government Secretary Manuel Roxas
III in 2016. A resounding win of the president’s
Team Pinoy in the midterm 2013 election and his good performance in the second
half of his term will boost the chance of his anointed one to become the next
president of the Philippines.
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