Showing posts with label Vietnam. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Vietnam. Show all posts

Thursday, September 27, 2012

China and Japan Territorial Dispute in East China Sea: a Flash Point in the Pacific

Photo credit: Wikipedia

The uninhabited islets of East China Sea are another flash point east of the Pacific Ocean. China, Japan and Taiwan are involved in dispute over conflicting claims on chain of islands called Senkaku by the Japanese and Diaoyu by the Chinese.  China also claims ownership and sovereignty over Spratly’s group of islands at the South China Sea which is also contested by the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan, Malaysia and Brunei.

Early in August 2012, a group of 14 residents from Hong Kong and mainland China travelled by fishing boat and landed in one of the islands at Diaoyu. Japanese authorities then arrested and deported them. Later, a group of Japanese activists on a flotilla of 150 people went to the Japanese controlled Diaoyu group of islands. Ten of them swam ashore and raised the Japanese flag on one of the Islands on August 19. 2012. Although that move was not sanctioned by the Japanese government, it nevertheless sparked a nationwide protest in China.

The tense situation came to a head when Japan announced that it bought some of the islands at Diaoyu from their private owner at 26 million dollars. This infuriated China and President Hu Jintao warned that the move was invalid and illegal. In relation to the Japanese action, the Chinese took to the streets in the cities of Guanzhou, Wenzhou, Shanghai and other cities, and attacked some Japanese-owned business establishments. The protesters also threatened to boycott Japanese-made products and establishments. The situation forced the Japanese companies such as Panasonic, Toyota and others to temporarily suspend their operations.  

Taiwan joined the fray by sending 50 fishing vessels escorted by patrol ships to Diaoyu Islands. They were intercepted by Japanese coast guard ships which fired water cannon into the vessels. The Taiwanese patrol ships retaliated by also firing their water cannon into the Japanese ships. It was fortunate that the drama ended with neither side firing real ammunition.

Lately, China bought from Ukraine and put into service its first ever aircraft carrier joining the exclusive clubs of ten countries with active aircraft carriers. Christened Liaoning, the aircraft carrier can hold 30 fixed wing fighters which is way below the capacity of the much larger Nimitz class aircraft carrier of the US that can carry around 90 aircrafts. China is adding to its fleet six more aircraft carriers that are still in the process of construction.  From all indications, China aims to become the most dominant military power in the region.

Engaging in armed confrontation with Japan and even with the weaker countries such as Vietnam and the Philippines is not the best way for China to project itself as an emerging world power because it owes its prosperity with its trading with the west, Japan and other countries that are allied to the United States. Moreover, Japan like the Philippines has an outstanding mutual defense treaty with the United States. The treaties call for mutual military assistance in the event of an attack by another country. The United States confirmed that the islands disputed by Japan and China are covered by its security treaty with Japan.                                               

For China, Japan, unlike any other claimants of the disputed groups of island east of the Pacific is no pushover. Japan was once a world military power with a history of occupying China, and its economy at present is one of the largest and the strongest in the world. It is also one of the leading countries in the world with access to most advanced and sophisticated technologies that may include weapons. An armed confrontation between Japan and China may probably end in stalemate with Japan gaining the political advantage.

Despite their differences, Japan and China need each other to sustain their economic growth. China, a prosperous country with a very large population is a very big market for the Japanese to ignore. On the part of China, Japan is one of its largest trading partners.

Most of the Islands and islets in the disputed seas are barren.  However, the seas have great economic and strategic significance. The South and East China seas are trade route of about 5 trillion dollars worth of goods. They are a rich fishing area and are also believed to sit in huge deposits of oil and natural gas.

Barring substantial find of oil and natural gas deposits on or at the disputed group of islands; China, Japan, Taiwan and especially the weaker countries would not initiate move that would start a full blown war because their economic interest and well being would be adversely affected. Claimant countries may have a distrust or animosity to one another.  And isolated cases of armed clashes may arise from their dispute, but they may avoid resorting to war to settle their differences.

Related posts:





Tuesday, August 14, 2012

China and Philippine's Dispute over Scarborough Shoal



Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea has become a bone of contention between the Philippines and China. Both countries claim ownership of that barren shoal which is called Panatag by the Philippines and Huangyan by China. Scarborough shoal is composed of islets, reefs and an atoll. Beijing based its claim in history citing Yuan dynasty map of 1279 which included the shoal as part of its territory. The Philippines on the other hand premised its claim on geography since it is only about 123 nautical miles or 198 kilometer off Subic Bay while it is 350 nautical miles from China. The Philippines asserted that the shoal is within its 200-nautical mile Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), and therefore it has the legitimate right to explore and use its marine resources in accordance with the UN Convention on the Laws of the Sea (UNCLOS).                                                                                                                  

Countries at the South China Sea such as China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines and to a lesser extent Malaysia and Brunei have overlapping claims over the outlying group of small islands and reefs in that sea. However, China claims sovereignty over almost all of the disputed islands. The conflicting claims resulted to an armed confrontation between China and Vietnam in the Paracel and Spratly’s islands. That engagement went badly for Vietnam, and since then China secured the area with its troops. The Philippines also claim some of the areas such as the Panganiban Reef in the Spratly’s which is just 87 nautical miles off its province of Palawan. But the Chinese fished at the sea around it. When the Philippines protested, China responded by building a four- story military garrison there.  China insisted that it is part of its territory. After some saber-rattling the Philippines backed down.                                                                  

Scarborough Shoal is not a part of Spratly’s Islands, and the Philippine government considers it as part of its municipality of Masinloc, Zambales. But the Chinese government also considers it as its own. On April 10, 2012 eight Chinese vessels with their crew were caught by the Philippine Navy with corals, giant clams and live sharks at the shoal. In response, Chinese authorities then sent navy vessels to that area.  Although there was no armed engagement between the Chinese and the Philippine vessels, the presence of the Chinese Naval ships enabled the Chinese fishermen to get away.  Relative to the incident the Philippine ambassador was called from his embassy in China, and the Chinese authorities told him that the Philippine government should let alone Chinese fishermen at the shoal and that its navy should not be sent there.                                                                 

The Philippines however, is not in a mood to submit to the threat of its giant and powerful neighbor. It has signified its openness to the assistance of its long time ally, the United States in the dispute.  The United States has so far shown supportive but sometimes ambivalent position with regard to the issue. Prior to the May incident the US senate passed a resolution on June 2011 condemning China’s use of force against smaller countries in the area and affirmed US willingness to use its military might against China’s aggression in South the China Sea. The US and the Philippines also agreed to conduct joint military exercise in the Philippines, an activity which further alienated the Philippines from China.  Despite that resolution from the US senate, Secretary of State Hilary Clinton issued statement that the US will not take side in the event armed conflict erupts in South China Sea.

Dealing with the Philippine resoluteness, China engages its small neighbor in the economic front. It declared 150 containers of bananas as infected with pest and as a result the fruits just rot in the Southern Chinese ports. Chinese tourist bookings to Boracay Island, a popular tourist destination, were also cancelled. The Chinese account for the fourth largest tourist arrivals after the Koreans, Americans and Japanese. The sanction had an immediate impact on the affected businessmen who relayed to the Aquino administration their situation. The president advised them to look for markets and tourists elsewhere.

Some Filipinos view the event at Scarborough Shoal as an act of aggression and violation of their country’s sovereignty by China. They marched at the Chinese embassy in the Philippines on May 11, 2012. Parallel march was also conducted at Chinese embassies in other countries. Before that protest China issued an advisory to its citizen in those countries not to go out of their homes in that date. To ease the tension, the Philippines sent a communication to China that the protest was an exercise of its citizens’ right for the redress of their grievance, and it was not initiated in any way by the government.

China is the world’s second largest economy and the third largest in size in terms of total area. It has also the world’s second largest army with 2.3 million active troops that are supported with a whooping military budget of US $129 billion in 2011.  It is also a recognized nuclear weapon state. Indeed, by all accounts China is the strongest country in the area at the South China Sea and perhaps in all of Asia. A small and poor country like the Philippines has a very limited chance of success against China in a military conflict. However, the Filipinos are united behind the national leadership of President Aquino to defend and protect a territory that they think as rightfully belonging to them.                                                                                                                           

The Philippines has so far made move to settle its dispute with China over the Scarborough Shoal. It has tried to propose with China to bring the matter to the International Tribunal for the Laws of the Sea (ITLOS), but the latter refused. It has also tried to get the involvement of its neighbors to resolve the issue. But so far, those countries have not yet responded. And most of all the Philippines keeps its line of communication always open with china in resolving their disputes diplomatically.

The disputed islets, reefs and cays in the South China Sea are mostly barren, uninhabited and devoid of vegetation. Apart from being rich fishing ground, they have little economic value at present. However, speculations are rife that those groups of island sit on vast natural gas and fossil oil deposits.  And it is probably the reason why China would want to have all of the islets of the South China as its own. China is a newly industrialized country with the biggest fossil fuel consumption in the world.                                   

With its super power potential, increasing international influence as well as its growing economic and military powers, China may eventually possess and control all of the disputed islands in the South China Sea. The country that can deter or stop China most from its aggression is the United States, the only remaining super power in the world. China will think twice before locking horns with the most powerful and influential country of the world.  Although the US is indebted financially to China, the latter owes its prosperity with its trading with the US and other Western countries. The US can do better in having partnership with countries in the area other than China if the contested areas are indeed rich in deposits of oil and other underwater mineral resources. The control of China of important key trading route in the sea may not be good for the US in its global projection of power. Adherence to international laws such as UNCLOS by nations having conflicting territorial claims of the disputed areas is perhaps the best option to avoid armed conflicts among them.

Related post:
China and Japan Territorial Dispute in East China Sea: a Flash Point in the Pacific



Monday, August 13, 2012

Vo Nguyen Giap, the Vietnamese General Who Humbled the Western Powers



Vo Nguyen Giap was born on August 25, 1911, in Quang-Binh province of Vietnam. He studied at Lycee Albert-Sarrant in Hanoi where he earned his law degree in 1937. He became a professor of history at Lycee Than Long in Hanoi. He joined the communist party and in 1938 married Min Thai. Together, they worked for the Indo-China Communist Party. He was active in anti-colonial activities and was an ardent nationalist. When the party was outlawed by the French authorities he escaped to China where he joined Ho Chi Minh, the leader of Vietnam Revolutionary League (Viet Minh). In Vietnam, Giap’s sister-in-law and his wife were captured by the French. His wife later died in prison in 1939.                                                                      

The Japanese occupied Vietnam during the Second World War. Giap organized a resistance group that fought the Japanese until the end of the war. He also supported the goals of Ho Chi Minh’s independence movement. After the Japanese forces were defeated in 1945 Ho announced the independence of the country and formed the Democratic Republic of Vietnam. He then appointed Vo Nguyen Giap as commander of all police and internal security forces and as commander-in- chief of the armed forces. But the French reestablished its authority on its possession in Indo-China after the war. It refused to recognize the Democratic Republic of Vietnam, and armed conflict followed as a result.                                                                     

The war turned favorable for Ho Chi Minh when in 1949 Mao Zedong defeated the Kuomintang regime of Chiang Kai-shik and established a communist government in China. A big next door neighbor became an ally and a supporter. Ho Chi Minh’s forces could now bring supplies and men from there and seek refuge there when the situations were bad.

The cost of war in terms of lives and money for the French were mounting, and there was no victory in sight. Above all, the French public thought that there was no moral justification for the war, and it increasingly became unpopular at home.  The French promised to set up a national government and to grant Vietnam independence. However, the Viet Minh did not trust the French, and the war continued.                                            

General Henri Navarre, the commander of the French forces In Vietnam devised a plan to draw the Viet Minh to the negotiating table.  He thought of defeating the communist in a large scale conventional battle by blocking the route of men and supplies from Laos at Dien Bien Phu which is at the northwest of Vietnam.  Navarre thought and hoped that If Giap took the bait he could destroy his forces.                

General Giap did not see the possible outcome of the battle the way Navarre did. He accepted Navarre’s challenge. The French positioned about 14,000 troops, artillery and other weapons at Dien Bien Phu. Giap put up about 70,000 men and enveloped the French position. He brought artillery pieces and anti-aircraft guns across the most difficult terrain which the French had not anticipated. He then placed them in vantage positions and dug trenches and secret tunnels leading to the positions of the French. When the fighting commenced the French forces were all but outclassed. Giap’s anti-aircraft guns that were brought from China also made it difficult or impossible for the French to bring in reinforcement of fresh troops and supplies.

On May 7, after 55 day of siege the French forces surrendered to the forces of General Giap.  The French suffered 7,000 casualties and 11,000 were held as prisoners of war. The following day, on May 8, 1954, the French government announced its intention to withdraw its forces from Vietnam.  

In the aftermath of the French debacle at Dien Bien Phu, a conference at Geneva was held. On May 8, 1954, Vietnam was partitioned at the 17th parallel and a reunification election was to be held in 1956. In the divided Vietnam the north was allied with the USSR and China. The south was allied with the United States. In the north Vo Nguyen Giap became the deputy minister, minister of defense and commander in chief of the armed forces.

South Vietnam’s distrust of the communists resulted to the non realization of the reunification election. President Ngu Dinh Diem stated that he was not bound by the Geneva accord and declared the Independence of South Vietnam in 1955. Diem’s actions were implicit declaration of war against the north. And battle lines were drawn between the two neighboring brothers.                                    

The entry and interference of the United States in the conflict escalated the war. There were the Army of the Republic of Vietnam (ARVN) and the US forces pitted against the North Vietnamese Army and National Liberation Front (NLF) which was also called the Viet Cong. USSR and China provided assistance to the north and the NLF in terms of war materiel.                                                                            

The United States, wary of communist takeover of Vietnam and the fall of other Asian neighbors to the communists, made its strong presence felt in the Vietnamese conflict. In 1961, there were only two helicopter companies with 4,000 US soldiers.  In 1965 the US strength was up at 200,000 and in 1968 it ballooned to 525,000.                                                                                                                                                               

North Vietnam in which Vo Nguyen Giap was the commander-in-chief of the People’s Liberation Army devised a plan to score big victory in the magnitude of Dien Bien Phu to weaken US resolve to continue the war. A massive, simultaneous, and coordinated attack by the North Vietnamese troops and the Viet Cong to coincide with the Vietnamese lunar New Year called Tet would be launched against 100 urban targets all over South Vietnam.                                                                                                  

The Tet Offensive turned out to be a tactical disaster to the communists instead. It lost 45,000 of its best troops and the NLF was virtually crippled. The military defeat of the communist however had unintended consequences that were favorable to them. The Tet Offensive had created an impression to the American political and military leaderships that the war in Vietnam could not be won. Moreover, the horror of war as shown on TVs and media heightened the anti-war sentiment of the American public.

US leadership thought that a negotiated withdrawal could be its solution to the problem that it had gotten itself into. The US sued for peace negotiations. A peace talk collapsed in December 16, 1972, and President Nixon ordered massive bombings of Hanoi and Haipong by B52 bombers to bring the communists back to the negotiating table.                                                                                                                                                      

On Jan 27, 1973, In Paris, delegations from the United States, South Vietnam, North Vietnam and the provisional government signed agreement ending the war and restoring peace. Some conditions of the deal was the withdrawal of all US and allied forces from South Vietnam, the  return of POWs on both sides and an international monitoring committee composed of Hungary, Poland, Canada and Indonesia to oversee the implementation of peace accord. However, President Nguyen Van Thieu was apprehensive with the deal since 145,000 troops from the north would still remain in the south. He called the peace deal made by Henry Kissinger and Le Dhuc Tho a “sell out”.

Kissinger and Tho were both awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for the peace deal. Kissinger accepted it but Tho did not. Tho correctly thought that peace was not attained with the deal and beyond that deal major battles loomed ahead. Peace could only be attained when communist victory was in hand.

After escalating a war that caused 57,685 American lives plus 153,303 wounded and a spending that cost about 686 US billion dollars, the US forces left Vietnam in 1973. To some observers, the withdrawal was an implicit admission of defeat.  The US left the task of fighting the communist to the government of South Vietnam which it called “Vietnamization”.  Under that policy the US would continue to give financial and material support to the south to prosecute the war. Nixon even hinted that the US would come to the aid of the south if the north violated the peace deal.

The US pullout had an immediate impact on the Vietnamese economy which depended too much on the spending of the US troops. The Yom Kippur War of 1973 sent the price of oil skyrocketing and it made the operation of US left behind war equipments such as planes and tanks more expensive to operate. Furthermore, Nixon’s credibility was greatly eroded by the Watergate Scandal. Although another republican Gerald Ford took over the presidency from Nixon, the 1974 mid-term election saw the democrats who were anti-war winning the majority of both the lower and upper houses of US congress.
The democrats made resolution to phase out the war funding. It was decreased in 1975 and cut off in 1976. Furthermore, the Case-Church amendment of 1974 prohibited the intervention of the US in case of a re-escalation of the war in Vietnam.

As soon as the US forces were gone, the North Vietnamese under General Giap’s guidance and leadership as the commander-in-chief began attacking south and most of the south’s key positions were overran by the communists. President Ford wanted to help but his hands were tied by congress. There was no way the south could stave off defeat. On April 30, 1975, Saigon fell and the Republic of Vietnam surrendered unconditionally. And the north and the south were unified as one country under the rule of the communists.

Vo Nguyen Giap was the chief of the People’s Army throughout the war with the United States. His resoluteness to fight a protracted war, his willingness to accept staggering battlefield losses in furtherance of his ends and his ability to move men and war materiel across impossible terrain in sufficient numbers to accomplish his goals have enabled him to become one of the most successful military commanders in recent history.                                                                                                  

From 1976 when north and south were united Giap served as minister of defense, he also became the deputy prime minister in 1976. He was a member of the politburo of the communist party until 1982.

Related articles:

Vietnam War: The Defeat of the United States and It’s Abandonment of South Vietnam http://lapasan-myblognoel145.blogspot.com/2025/10/vietnam-war-defeat-of-united-states-and.html